🔒 Member numbers are capped to protect selection value — current status:OPEN
Live Algorithmic Value Detection

Systematic Horse Racing Value.
Winning is our game.

A Python-powered horse racing value system delivered to your Telegram by 10am. Independent tissue prices, market overlays, live exchange data — back early, lay at BSP, lock in profit.

Track recordbuilding
Live from June 2026
4/1–8/1
Target sweet spot
By 10am
Delivered daily
Odds Father Value Finder
Today's list
Today's selections are delivered exclusively to Telegram members.
Start free 7-day trial
LiveSelections delivered to Telegram by 10am on UK & Irish race days
Performance

A trading dashboard, not a tipster boast.

Building
Beat BSP
Tracking from launch
Building
Steamer rate
Logged in real time
4/1–8/1
Target sweet spot
Where our edge sits
June 2026
Public launch
Track record from day 1
Track record
We launched in June 2026.

Our full track record is published in real time on the Track Record page — every bet, every result, nothing hidden. No retrofitted history, no cherry-picked winners. Each selection is posted before the off and settled at BSP.

The Daily Workflow

From tissue to profit, in four moves.

01
9:00 PM

Tissue generated

Independent fair prices computed for every runner using our scipy-calibrated exponential model trained on 100k+ races.

02
8:45 AM

Overlay list to Telegram

Bot delivers the locked daily list — only horses where the market is paying more than fair value.

03
10:00 AM

Back at the best price

Live odds from 30+ bookmakers pulled via Racing API. Take the morning price before steamers move.

04
Off Time

Lay at BSP, lock profit

Matchbook exchange integration tracks live prices. If it shortens, lay your stake — free bet locked in.

The Engine

Built like a quant desk. Delivered like a tip.

Eight integrated modules, two gated on-site tools, one Telegram bot — zero spreadsheets.

01

Independent tissue model

Exponential probability calibrated against 100,000+ historical results. Our fair price, not the market's.

02

Morning overlay detection

Gap % between tissue and market makes every value bet measurable and ranked.

03

Matchbook live prices

Real-time back/lay quotes from the exchange streamed straight into the bot.

04

Odds tracker

Steamer & drifter signals across 30+ bookmakers via Racing API integration.

05

Profile scoring

Selections scored against a professional profile derived from ML calibration.

06

Arb finder

Automatic scan for back/lay arbitrage opportunities between bookmaker and exchange.

07

Full P&L tracking

Dual-strategy reporting: back-to-lay and back-only, with daily, weekly, monthly cuts.

08

Locked daily list

Published once per day to protect P&L integrity — no chasing, no re-tipping.

On-Site Tools

See what members actually use.

Two gated tools live inside the member dashboard — swipe through the interfaces below.

Basic+

Value Scanner

Live
Single-horse lookup
Lady Tremaine14:35 Ascot
Lady Tremaine
5f Handicap · Good to Firm
Confidence
A · 87%
Tissue
6.4
Best Market
9.0
Edge
+40.6%
Bet3659.0Sky8.5Paddy8.0BF9.2
Course: AscotGoing: GFEdge ≥ 10%
Course filter — York card
York · all races today12 runners shown
Saxon Warrior
15:10 · 1m Hcap
Confidence
A · 91%
Tissue
5.0
Best Market
7.5
Edge
+50.0%
Bet3657.5Sky7.0Will Hill7.5BF7.8
Nightjar 15:45+22.4%
Quiet Reflection 16:20+14.1%
Course: YorkMin edge: 10%Sorted: edge ↓
Going filter — Soft ground
Going: Soft · UK & Ireland4 qualifying runners
Mud Lark
14:05 Chepstow · 7f Mdn
Confidence
B · 74%
Tissue
8.0
Best Market
11.0
Edge
+37.5%
Bet36510.0Sky11.0Paddy10.5BF11.5
Going: SoftConfidence ≥ BMdn + Hcap
3 screens · swipe to explore
Premium

Smart Money Tracker

Live
Live market-mover feed
Saxon Warrior
15:10 Newmarket · 6 bookies moved
12.07.5
2m ago
Nightjar
14:25 Chepstow · 4 bookies moved
8.56.0
5m ago
Quiet Reflection
16:40 York · 8 bookies moved
5.54.2
11m ago
Consensus alert: 6+ bookmakers shortened in last 10 minutes.
Bookmaker-by-bookmaker drill-down
Saxon Warrior
15:10 Newmarket
12.07.5
Bet36512.07.5
Sky Bet11.07.0
Paddy Power11.07.5
William Hill10.07.0
Betfair Sportsbook12.08.0
Coral11.07.5
Push alert preview
Smart Money — Steamer
now
Saxon Warrior · 15:10 Newmarket
Shortened 12.0 → 7.5 across 6 bookmakers in 2 minutes.
Smart Money — Consensus
8m ago
Nightjar — 4 of top-6 bookies shortened simultaneously.
3 screens · swipe to explore
The Strategy

Back early. Lay at BSP. Lock the edge.

Back-to-lay turns a value price into a structurally protected position. Here's the maths, simply.

If it steams
BackBack £100 @ 5/1
LayLay £100 @ 3/1
WinsWin: +£200 free bet
LosesLose: ~£2 (2% commission)

Back-to-lay locks the position — only exchange commission (typically ~2%) applies.

If it holds
BackBack £100 @ 4/1
LayLay £100 @ 4/1
WinsWin: stake back (no profit)
LosesLose: −£2 (2% commission)

Back and lay at the same price = stake back if it wins, just 2% commission if it loses.

If it drifts
BackBack £100 @ 5/1
LayLay £70 @ 7/1
WinsWin: £0
LosesLose: −£30 (+2% commission)

Partial lay leaves residual exposure — factor in ~2% exchange commission on the lay side.

63% beat BSP

Across our universe, nearly two-thirds of selections close shorter than the morning price. That asymmetry is what makes the back-to-lay structure work — most days you're cashing free bets.

The Bot

Every signal, in one chat.

The bot runs the full daily routine. You just read the messages.

/overlays — today's locked value selections with tissue, median & best price
/overlays — today's locked value selections with tissue, median & best price
/poll — live odds update with STRONG CONFIRM steamers and drift alerts
/poll — live odds update with STRONG CONFIRM steamers and drift alerts
/results — daily greened rate, win rate and overall ROI summary
/results — daily greened rate, win rate and overall ROI summary
Bot commands
/list
Today's overlay list
TEMPEST RISING — 14:20 Ascot
Tissue 3.2 · Market 4.5 · Edge +12.4%
Back: Bet365 @ 7/2 · Lay: 4.6
 
NORTHERN LIGHT — 15:05 Ascot
Tissue 5.1 · Market 6.5 · Edge +8.8%
Back: Skybet @ 11/2 · Lay: 6.8
/results
Daily P&L
Date: 03 Jun 2026
Selections: 7 · Beat BSP: 5 (71%)
 
Back-to-Lay P&L: +£184.50
Back-only P&L: +£212.00
 
MTD ROI: +18.2% · YTD: +24.6%
/tips
Profile cross-ref
Profile tip: VELVET HAMMER
Profile score: 8.7 / 10 ✓
Tissue agrees · Overlay +6.2%
 
Profile tip: PALE HORSE
Profile score: 3.1 / 10 ✗
Underlay vs tissue — skip
/track
Live odds movement
IRON BELLE — 16:40
10:00 11/2 ████████░░
10:30 5/1 ███████░░░
12:00 4/1 █████░░░░░
Now 7/2 ████░░░░░░
→ STEAMER · lay window open
The Technology

Not a tipster. A quantitative system.

Independent tissue prices generated by an exponential probability model, scale-calibrated against 100,000+ historical results. Bookmaker odds streamed live from The Racing API; Matchbook exchange prices via REST. Selections cross-referenced against a profile scored by machine-learning calibration. Delivered by a Python Telegram bot that runs the full daily routine.

tissue_engine.py
from scipy.optimize import minimize
from models import ExponentialTissue
# calibrate scale against 100k+ races
scale = minimize(loss, x0=1.2)
tissue = ExponentialTissue(scale)
# live edge detection
for race in racing_api.today():
fair = tissue.price(race)
edge = (market / fair) - 1.0
if edge > threshold:
telegram.push(race, edge)
Probability model
Exponential / scipy
Calibration set
100,000+ races
Bookmaker coverage
30+ via Racing API
Exchange feed
Matchbook REST
Delivery
Python Telegram bot
Profile scoring
ML-calibrated
Built with
Python
Telegram
SciPy
SciPy
The Racing API
The Racing API
Matchbook
Matchbook
PostgreSQL
PostgreSQL
📅Launched June 2026 — track record building in public
🔒Every selection posted before the race — no retrofitting
📊Full P&L published on our Track Record page
Membership

Try free for 7 days — card required, cancel anytime

Basic
The daily edge.
£29.99/mo
Free 7-day trial · cancel anytime
Start free 7-day trial
  • Daily selections via Telegram
  • Morning overlay list
  • Evening results & P&L
  • Back-only strategy
Most popular
Pro
The quant desk.
£49.99/mo
Free 7-day trial · cancel anytime
Start free 7-day trial
  • Everything in Basic
  • On-site value scanner
  • Profile cross-reference
  • Profile scoring engine
  • Live odds tracker (steamers/drifters)
  • Arb finder
  • Back-to-lay P&L
Premium
Direct line.
£149.99/mo
Free 7-day trial · cancel anytime
Start free 7-day trial
  • Everything in Pro
  • On-site value scanner
  • Smart Money Tracker — live market-mover alerts
  • 1-on-1 Telegram support
  • Priority alerts (instant push)
  • Scale calibration updates
  • Bankroll structuring session
FAQ

Straight answers.